TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of a college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL). Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can assess for the latter portion of the match.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half (including overtime) of the specified college football game. For any market, if the collective points exceed the stated threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, trading remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all affected markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals betting on their own predictions. Generally, if prediction market prices diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific total score for the second half. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total will be at or above that score, or sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome, and fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the second half of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to totals at or above the actual score will settle at 100, while those below will settle at 0. The official game statistics will be the basis for verifying the result and determining payouts for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or Miami (FL) teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could also lead to adjustments in the price of contracts. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes.