TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL) on October 24, 2026. It captures the early momentum and scoring dynamics of the contest, offering insight into how the game might unfold in its initial stages.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the first quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Miami (FL) has the highest score after the first quarter, the 'Miami (FL)' outcome settles as Yes. If Pittsburgh achieves the highest score in the same timeframe, the 'Pittsburgh' outcome settles as Yes. Should both teams finish the first quarter tied, the 'Tie' outcome resolves as Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of them winning the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team – Pittsburgh or Miami – wins the first quarter will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scorekeeping, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either Pittsburgh or Miami would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in social media or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.