TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pittsburgh and Hartford Athletic, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Pittsburgh vs Hartford Athletic USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Pittsburgh winning by more than 2.5 goals, Pittsburgh winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hartford Athletic winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hartford Athletic winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate condition for market resolution, meaning the event will resolve to 'Yes' for the specific market where the actual score meets or exceeds its corresponding margin. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public and informed opinions about the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Pittsburgh vs Hartford spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own predictions, which drives price fluctuations. The current market price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely spread for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Pittsburgh vs Hartford Athletic game. The market will settle based on the actual difference in scores between the two teams, as reported by official sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world outcome of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the market for the Pittsburgh vs Hartford spread. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games or updated statistical analysis could also impact prices. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can create noticeable movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the game’s final result.