TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Pittsburgh and Hartford Athletic will determine the winner based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game ends in a tie, a specific outcome is designated, and any significant changes to the schedule will be handled according to predefined procedures.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Pittsburgh vs Hartford Athletic professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A win for Pittsburgh or Hartford Athletic after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) resolves the respective markets to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The markets are specific to the regular time result and do not include extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by factors like house bias and public betting patterns. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes for the USL Championship match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Pittsburgh will win, the price of that outcome’s contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the USL Championship match between Pittsburgh and Hartford Athletic will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official league data and reporting to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Pittsburgh or Hartford Athletic would likely cause significant price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Major news regarding team finances or off-field issues might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the market prices leading up to Oct 11, 2026.