TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Pittsburgh and Colorado, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It determines whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead, measured in goal differentials. The resolution hinges on the official game result, accounting for potential scheduling changes.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Pittsburgh or Colorado to win by. If Colorado wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes; if they win by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors, as they may reveal opportunities where the market perceives a mispricing relative to sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the spread itself is determined by the forces of supply and demand among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Pittsburgh vs Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key injuries to star players on either the Pittsburgh or Colorado teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts for the game day could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving perceptions of each team's chances of winning by the anticipated margin.