TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Pittsburgh vs Boston College college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Boston College scores first, Pittsburgh scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If the sportsbook heavily favors one team, you might see a different probability distribution in this market as traders weigh various factors, such as injuries, weather, and recent performance. It's common to observe discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information evolves and opinions converge. However, as the event nears, the odds on both tend to align.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Pittsburgh or Boston College scoring the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Pittsburgh vs Boston College game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any scoring plays will be reviewed against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game, providing a clear record of the outcome and market settlement.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries for either Pittsburgh or Boston College would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different scoring scenarios. Furthermore, any significant updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, could trigger price movements as they react to new information or adjust their positions.