TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College. It provides a way to bet on short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends solely on the third quarter's scoring dynamics.
If Boston College wins the 3rd quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins the 3rd quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize public perception or biases, while this market aggregates diverse opinions as traders buy and sell contracts. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate forecasts, as more information becomes available and more people participate. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information that impacts the perceived probability of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts that pay out $1 if their predicted outcome wins. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers increase the price, while more sellers decrease it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 3rd quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts for the winning team or a tie will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts for the losing team will receive $0.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or Boston College teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception shifts based on pre-game analysis or expert opinions could drive trading activity and alter the odds in this market.