TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the third quarter of a college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Pittsburgh and Boston College exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the event. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the third quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data sources, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Pittsburgh or Boston College would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in earlier parts of the game, or even updates on team strategies, could cause traders to reassess the likely third-quarter spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or team morale could also contribute to price movements in this market.