TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Pittsburgh or Boston College specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Pittsburgh vs Boston College college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For markets specifying Pittsburgh's victory, resolution occurs if Pittsburgh wins that quarter by more than the stated point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points). For markets specifying Boston College's victory, resolution occurs if Boston College wins that quarter by more than the stated point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the specified quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news quickly, while this market allows a broader range of information to influence prices as more traders participate. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as traders interpret existing information differently. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s trading activity, creating a real-time assessment of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual 2nd quarter spread of the Pittsburgh vs Boston College football game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or Boston College teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their positions.