TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$65,919,658

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,351,118,393

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,114,324,756

312,055

Markets across

30,503

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,322

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Closed: Aug 22, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Intro

This market tracks whether the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23, 2026, will go to extra innings. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome is 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi, and Opinion, with resolution based on official results from MLB.com. Watch for the game’s conclusion on August 23, 2026, to confirm whether extra innings occur.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic for resolving the game outcome and first-inning run scoring, with MLB.com as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: https://www.mlb.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • If Pittsburgh Pirates win the game, resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates"
  • If Los Angeles Dodgers win the game, resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers"
  • If the game is postponed, keep markets open until completed
  • If the game is canceled or ends in a tie, resolve 50-50
  • For the first-inning run market: resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the first inning by either team, otherwise resolve to "No"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is rescheduled and completed. Check MLB.com for makeup game details.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup, resolve 50-50 for win markets and first-inning run markets.
  • Tie: If the game ends in a tie (e.g., due to weather after nine innings with scores tied), resolve 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official game result is published on MLB.com, typically within 24 hours of the game conclusion. If statistics are not published within 24 hours, credible reporting may be used as a fallback.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the winning team of the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 7:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-23 20:10 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, weather conditions, and pitcher rotations can all shift this market as the game nears. Key starters’ performance updates or last-minute lineup changes often trigger rapid price swings. Additionally, broader narrative shifts — such as playoff implications or recent head-to-head performance — may influence trader sentiment on Polymarket and Opinion alike, moving odds dramatically in the final days.