TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between Pitea and Stocksund. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Pitea vs Stocksund professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Pitea market occurs if Pitea secures a victory under these conditions. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Stocksund applies if Stocksund achieves a win. If the match concludes with an equal score, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Pitea vs Stocksund match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates lower probability, while a lower price suggests a higher probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pitea vs Stocksund match as reported by a trusted source for sports results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount depends on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Pitea or Stocksund could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role, especially if they favor one team's playing style. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also impact public sentiment and trading activity. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.