TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Ettan soccer match between Pitea and Sollentuna, focusing on determining whether either team wins or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market outcomes reflect the match's result as it stands at the end of regulation play.
The event resolves based on the result of the Pitea vs Sollentuna professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Pitea wins, the 'Pitea' market resolves to Yes; if Sollentuna wins, the 'Sollentuna' market resolves to Yes; and if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers regulation time outcomes, with no regard for extended play formats.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the Pitea vs Sollentuna match and highlight areas of agreement or disagreement between different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Pitea vs Sollentuna match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices dynamically adjust, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pitea vs Sollentuna match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final contract prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Pitea or Sollentuna would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely lead to movement in this market.