TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between Pitea and Karlstad Fotbol. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, or whether the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result of the match as it concludes in regular time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Pitea vs Karlstad Fotbol professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Pitea, Karlstad Fotbol, or Tie markets occurs respectively if that team wins or the match ends level within regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Pitea vs Karlstad match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pitea vs Karlstad match, as determined by the governing football association. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal emerging consensus and cause the market to react quickly to new information.