TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pistons vs. Timberwolves
Volume:
$12,719,484
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 28 at 5:30PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, granular market definitions with explicit resolution rules for all scenarios (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets, postponement, cancellation). Kalshi provides only a single binary market that resolves YES if either team wins, with no specification of resolution source, tie-breaking, postponement handling, or cancellation protocol, creating a fundamental data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market. It is logically incomplete and unresolvable as written—it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Detroit win OR Minnesota win), which violates basic market logic. All substantive trading should occur on Polymarket, which provides clear, detailed resolution criteria across 75 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and first-half action.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market practice: Polymarket defines 75 distinct markets with explicit resolution logic for each. Core markets include moneyline (Pistons vs. Timberwolves), spreads (Timberwolves -1.5, -2.5; Pistons -2.5 through -18.5), totals (O/U 191.5 through 224.5), player props (points, rebounds, assists for 10+ players), and first-half markets (moneyline, spread, totals). All markets specify: (1) threshold for YES resolution, (2) threshold for NO resolution, (3) tie-breaking rule (if applicable), (4) postponement protocol ('market remains open until game completed'), (5) cancellation protocol ('resolve 50-50 if game canceled with no make-up'). Resolution source is 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' or 'score at halftime only' for first-half markets. Example: 'This market will resolve to Timberwolves if the Timberwolves win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Pistons. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to Pistons.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market with the statement 'If Detroit wins the Detroit at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the Detroit at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—both outcomes (Detroit win and Minnesota win) resolve to YES, leaving no outcome that resolves to NO. The market lacks: (1) specification of resolution source, (2) tie-breaking rule, (3) postponement protocol, (4) cancellation protocol, (5) overtime inclusion rule, (6) any NO resolution condition. The market is fundamentally unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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