Pistons vs. Timberwolves

Critical divergence points:

• Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market practice: Polymarket defines 75 distinct markets with explicit resolution logic for each. Core markets include moneyline (Pistons vs. Timberwolves), spreads (Timberwolves -1.5, -2.5; Pistons -2.5 through -18.5), totals (O/U 191.5 through 224.5), player props (points, rebounds, assists for 10+ players), and first-half markets (moneyline, spread, totals). All markets specify: (1) threshold for YES resolution, (2) threshold for NO resolution, (3) tie-breaking rule (if applicable), (4) postponement protocol ('market remains open until game completed'), (5) cancellation protocol ('resolve 50-50 if game canceled with no make-up'). Resolution source is 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' or 'score at halftime only' for first-half markets. Example: 'This market will resolve to Timberwolves if the Timberwolves win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Pistons. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to Pistons.'
• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market with the statement 'If Detroit wins the Detroit at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the Detroit at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—both outcomes (Detroit win and Minnesota win) resolve to YES, leaving no outcome that resolves to NO. The market lacks: (1) specification of resolution source, (2) tie-breaking rule, (3) postponement protocol, (4) cancellation protocol, (5) overtime inclusion rule, (6) any NO resolution condition. The market is fundamentally unresolvable.