TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pistons vs. Magic
Volume:
$6,576,541
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market archetype mismatch: Polymarket is a binary game outcome market, while Kalshi offers nine independent player prop markets on steal thresholds. Both reference the same game but measure entirely different resolution events.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate trading instruments. Polymarket resolves on final game score only. Kalshi markets resolve on official NBA box score steal counts for three specific players. Verify the game is not postponed or canceled, as Polymarket has explicit makeup/cancellation rules while Kalshi markets do not address these scenarios. Monitor official NBA.com for game status and final box score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary game outcome market. Resolves to Pistons, Magic, or 50-50 (if canceled). Determined by final score including overtime. Source: NBA.com. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, market remains open until completion. If canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Nine independent player prop markets on steal thresholds. Ausar Thompson (1+, 2+, 3+ steals), Cade Cunningham (1+, 2+, 3+ steals), Jalen Suggs (1+, 2+, 3+ steals). Each resolves Yes independently if threshold is met. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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