TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pistons vs. Hornets
Volume:
$16,948,877
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Detroit Pistons and Charlotte Hornets scheduled for April 10 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Pistons" or "Hornets" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market definitions across 143 individual markets with specific thresholds, timing rules, and edge case handling (postponement, cancellation, overtime inclusion). Kalshi provides only a single binary market with no threshold specification, timing details, or edge case rules, creating fundamental incompatibility in settlement logic and scope.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically. Polymarket's 143 markets include precise spread thresholds (e.g., Hornets -3.5 requires 4+ point win), over/under lines at multiple levels (222.5 through 247.5), and player prop thresholds. Kalshi's single market only resolves YES if either team wins, with no mention of spreads, totals, or player performance. If you trade on Polymarket spreads or props, your settlement will not map to Kalshi's moneyline-only outcome. Verify which platform you are trading on and do not cross-hedge between them assuming identical resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 143 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads at 16 different thresholds (-7.5 to -1.5 for Hornets, -1.5 to -15.5 for Pistons), over/under totals at 26 different lines (222.5 through 247.5), first-half spreads and totals, and 30+ player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) with specific thresholds. Each market includes detailed edge case rules: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.' Overtime is explicitly included in all calculations. Resolution source is 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' for player props and final score for team markets.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market with no threshold, spread, or total specification: 'If Charlotte wins the Detroit at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the Detroit at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This resolves YES for either team winning (moneyline only), with no mention of postponement, cancellation, overtime, or any edge case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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