TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for a professional soccer match between Piratas Veracruz and Tapatio. The focus is on determining whether either team secures a victory by a specific goal differential threshold. Resolutions depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates four distinct outcome scenarios for the Piratas Veracruz versus Tapatio professional soccer match in the Liga de Expansion MX, scheduled for October 31, 2026. All resolutions are determined exclusively by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The first scenario resolves to 'Yes' if Piratas Veracruz wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second scenario resolves to 'Yes' if Piratas Veracruz wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third scenario resolves to 'Yes' if Tapatio wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth scenario resolves to 'Yes' if Tapatio wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise because prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities closer to the event. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Piratas Veracruz vs Tapatio match – specifically, the spread – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts within the Kalshi interface shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or strategic changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, can impact the volume and price of contracts within this market. Pay attention to any breaking news related to both teams leading up to the game.