TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Pineto and Gubbio scheduled for October 23, 2026. The match result will determine the resolution of three separate markets based on whether Pineto wins, Gubbio wins, or the game ends in a tie after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event covers a professional Serie C soccer match between Pineto and Gubbio scheduled for October 23, 2026. Three markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Pineto market occurs if Pineto wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Gubbio market occurs if Gubbio secures a victory within the same timeframe. If neither team wins and the match concludes in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution explicitly excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. It's a useful exercise to compare them and consider why differences might exist.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pineto vs Gubbio match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form for either Pineto or Gubbio could cause the market to react. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, particularly if it suggests a change in perceived team strength or likelihood of winning.