TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Phoenix Rising and Lexington SC. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Phoenix Rising vs Lexington SC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome, making it a dynamic reflection of collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Phoenix Rising vs Lexington SC match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to verify the final result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Phoenix Rising or Lexington SC would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports commentators and analysts, if it deviates significantly from the current market consensus, could attract traders and affect the price. Unexpected team lineup announcements right before the match could also lead to price fluctuations.