TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
kalshi

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights

Volume:
$40,481

Phoenix Rising

 - Kalshi

Phoenix Rising - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Phoenix Rising

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,868
N/A
N/A
$14,136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,162
N/A
N/A
$8,529
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas Lights

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,451
N/A
N/A
$6,707
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, determining whether one team secures a victory within the standard game duration. The result depends solely on the final score after the allocated time, excluding any extended play. If neither team wins within this timeframe, the result is classified as a tie.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Phoenix Rising wins within this timeframe, the 'Phoenix Rising' market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas Lights wins within the same timeframe, the 'Las Vegas Lights' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The outcome is strictly based on the result within the standard match duration, with no consideration for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the USL Championship match tracks the current price of contracts representing the possible outcomes of the game. You can view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $36,248. The total volume traded on this market is $40,481. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often provide different probabilities than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds with a built-in margin for profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to express their true beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see this market offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, potentially signaling a different expected outcome than implied by sportsbook lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the USL Championship match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts for that outcome, driving up its price and signaling a higher perceived probability.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the USL Championship match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team, and 0 for the losing team. The official result as reported by the league will be used to determine the final outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of their contracts.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Phoenix Rising or Las Vegas Lights would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching changes, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information.