TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Phoenix Rising FC and Las Vegas Lights, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Phoenix Rising FC vs. Las Vegas Lights match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Phoenix Rising FC and Las Vegas Lights, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Phoenix Rising FC vs. Las Vegas Lights match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a collective wisdom that can be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering information not fully captured by bookmakers. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a convenient benchmark. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information aggregation and the incentives of participants—traders in this market have skin in the game, potentially leading to more diligent analysis than casual bettors. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that may not immediately impact sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective prediction. The platform uses a decentralized approach, meaning prices are determined solely by supply and demand among traders, rather than a centralized bookmaker setting the odds. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Phoenix Rising FC versus Las Vegas Lights match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares payout. The platform relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the Phoenix Rising vs. Lights score market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and updated team lineups released closer to the game could shift the market’s probabilities. Unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself, while not directly reflected until after the fact, could also influence future markets of this type.