TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either team's defensive/special teams unit scores at least one touchdown during the Philadelphia vs Washington football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. The outcome depends on game statistics, with specific rules for player participation and penalties.
Both markets share a comprehensive set of secondary rules that govern contract resolution, particularly concerning player participation and penalty nullified plays. A contract is designated as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player records the required touchdowns. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, nor does lining up for a play stopped by penalty before the snap without further participation. The protection applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria and includes overtime statistics. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer’s total, and team defense/special-teams selections are settled based on actual touchdowns without player participation exceptions. These rules ensure consistent and fair settlement across both markets, aligning with the official game statistics and addressing edge cases like penalties and partial participation.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the game and potentially identify value in either market. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored in the Philadelphia versus Washington game, as recorded by official league statistics. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any changes in scoring can significantly impact the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might sway trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market opinion.