TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many total offensive yards each team achieves in a specific football game. Outcomes depend on whether designated yard thresholds are met by either team during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Philadelphia or Washington in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement. The resolution hinges solely on the official yardage statistics recorded during the game, with no affiliation to the governing league or its branding entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed participants. It’s common to see this market adjust more dynamically to late-breaking news or changes in perceived team strength than traditional sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, a team achieving a certain total yardage. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a team will exceed a yardage total, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total yards for both Philadelphia and Washington will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the officially recorded total yardage achieved by each team during the game, as reported by the NFL. Traders will receive payouts based on the final contract prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either Philadelphia or Washington would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or running games, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or significant practice changes could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.