TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team scores. It allows participants to predict whether a team will achieve a certain number of successful field goal attempts. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals scored by Philadelphia and Washington in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that either team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' All markets share a consistent secondary rule framework: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all affected markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of individual market thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an event. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the outcome. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest less confidence.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of field goals scored in the specified Philadelphia versus Washington NFL game. The final count will be verified against official game statistics and reported by established sports news sources. The market will settle to 100 if the number of field goals meets or exceeds the threshold, and to 0 otherwise.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key players on either team – such as injuries to the kicker or long snapper – would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts predicting strong winds or rain could also shift expectations, as these conditions often impact field goal attempts. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes in the game plan could influence traders’ assessments of the likely outcome and therefore impact the price of contracts in this market.