TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Philadelphia and Washington. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Philadelphia vs Washington NHL game scheduled for October 28, 2026, and each resolving based on the margin of victory. Markets 1 and 2 address scenarios where Washington wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively, while Markets 3 and 4 address scenarios where Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome market.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their initial odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the odds in this market may converge with, or diverge from, those offered by sportsbooks. The comparison can reveal where the crowd believes there's value or mispricing relative to traditional bookmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether Philadelphia wins by more or less than the spread. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either Philadelphia or Washington would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking reports, could lead to increased volume and price adjustments in this market.