TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Washington will win by more than 5.5 points in its upcoming professional football game against Philadelphia. Currently, the probability of Washington winning by over 5.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Philadelphia wins by more than 6.5 points in the game scheduled for November 1, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market specifies a particular point margin threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. If no team meets the threshold in their favor, all markets resolve to No. The outcomes are strictly determined by the final official score reported after the game concludes, with no adjustments for overtime, disputed calls, or subsequent revisions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individuals trading on Kalshi. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, especially when compared to initial polling data or expert opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Philadelphia will cover the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe Philadelphia will cover, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market aggregates these individual beliefs into a single, real-time probability assessment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect the latest information and expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final result of the Philadelphia versus Washington game, and whether Philadelphia covered the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could influence trader sentiment. Finally, significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market.