TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. The outcomes depend on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts. Settlement hinges on actual game performance, with special rules for players who are active but do not take any snaps.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is listed as active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts they record during the game. This consistent framework ensures clarity and fairness across all markets, accommodating both players who see limited action and those who participate fully.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the likely number of rushing attempts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating market movements. The more confident traders are in a particular outcome, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official number of combined rushing attempts by both teams in the Philadelphia versus Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected game script or weather conditions. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies focused on running or passing could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in team tactics leading up to the game are likely to cause fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.