TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
In this market, participants wager on Stefon Diggs's receptions in the same game, but payouts increase exponentially with each additional reception. The payout structure rewards higher reception counts more significantly, creating a non-linear incentive for predicting both the occurrence and magnitude of his performance.
If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Stefon Diggs in the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, meaning prices adjust rapidly based on supply and demand, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment regarding player reception totals.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the specified game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official reception totals for the players involved in the market. The platform will verify the data against official sources to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final results and settlement details on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers are a major catalyst, as a player’s absence would dramatically alter their reception potential. Game script – whether a team is expected to pass frequently due to being behind or run more often while leading – will also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Finally, any news regarding changes in quarterback play or offensive strategy could lead to substantial movement in this market.