TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market mirrors the escalator structure for Stefon Diggs' receiving yards rather than rushing. Contracts reward higher receiving yardage with progressively larger payouts following the same tiered acceleration pattern as the rushing version.
If Each Yes contract pays per receiving yards by Stefon Diggs in the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each 10 receiving yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set their own bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher the contract price will climb, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that result. The market is driven by individual traders’ analysis and expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the relevant NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards totals for the players involved will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes to understand the final results of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key receivers would drastically alter expectations. News regarding weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also influence the market, as these factors affect passing games. Coaching decisions and changes in offensive strategies can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to shifts in trading activity within this market, reflecting updated probabilities.