TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 35 points in an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on which team hits that benchmark first, or if neither achieves it during the game.
The event determines whether Philadelphia, Washington, or neither team is the first to score 35 points in their football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either team reaches 35 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this scoring milestone, the 'Neither team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to transparent and equitable principles throughout all potential scenarios.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and the perceived public’s betting tendencies, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals trading on Kalshi. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not directly reflected in traditional statistics. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and can sometimes offer better value depending on your assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 35 points first during the game between Philadelphia and Washington. The final score will be the source of truth for determining the winner of this market. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as strong offensive showings or defensive weaknesses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, might impact the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the expected outcome of the points race has the potential to move this market.