TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which team will be the first to reach a score of 10 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the early momentum and scoring dynamics between the two teams, providing insight into how the game might unfold in its initial stages.
The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the first 10 points in the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Washington reaches 10 points first, the Washington market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia reaches 10 points first, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores 10 points during the game, including any overtime periods, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring a balanced and transparent resolution process regardless of external scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of factors, including potentially unforeseen events or qualitative assessments. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available, but differences can persist due to varying market participants and incentives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Philadelphia vs Washington points race. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likely scenario.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if either, reaches 10 points first during the game. The result will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Philadelphia or Washington teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategies or unexpected performance during the game itself could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game could influence trader behavior, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.