TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a minimum distance for their longest reception in an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the furthest pass reception they make during the match.
The event determines if various players record a longest reception exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the set threshold, that specific market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on the longest reception distance recorded during the game. These rules apply separately to each named player, and Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks remaining property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each player having the longest reception. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional betting odds.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all impact traders' perceptions of each player's likelihood of having a long reception. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a key defensive adjustment or a change in offensive play-calling, could also lead to significant shifts in the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a player achieving a long reception is likely to drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.