TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. The outcome depends on whether either quarterback achieves designated yardage milestones during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the required passing yards, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full game passing yards encompassing overtime. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that might not be immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As a result, you may see differences between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. It’s often useful to compare both to form a more informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate significantly as the event approaches and new information becomes available, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the NFL will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are available. The market will then be considered settled, and any outstanding contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause a shift in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing offenses, could also play a role. Additionally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive matchups could impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, so monitoring the order book is crucial.