TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jayden Daniels will achieve 125 or more passing yards in the Philadelphia versus Washington professional football game. Currently, the probability of Jayden Daniels exceeding 125 passing yards on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is based on official game statistics from the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, determining a Yes or No outcome. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final passing yardage recorded by Jayden Daniels following the conclusion of the game on November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback achieves the stated passing yard threshold in the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold markets for both Jayden Daniels and Tanner McKee, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific yardage target.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information access and biases. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s passing yards.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Philadelphia versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards achieved by each quarterback will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the passing yardage range, based on the prices at which they purchased their contracts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team, changes in weather forecasts that might affect passing strategies, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all move the market. Unexpected reports on defensive matchups or adjustments to offensive schemes could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters expectations about the likely passing yardage totals will likely impact trading activity and price movements in this market.