TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Jayden Daniels and Tanner McKee in a specific NFL game between Philadelphia and Washington. They focus on how many passing touchdowns each quarterback throws during the match, with different thresholds for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns thrown by either Jayden Daniels or Tanner McKee in the Philadelphia vs Washington NFL game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. This applies uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of whether the quarterback ultimately throws one, two, three, or four or more passing touchdowns. The governing rules emphasize real-time performance once a snap occurs, with pre-snap activity only impacting settlement if no snaps are taken at all.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, whereas this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional betting odds. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market serve different purposes; sportsbooks prioritize entertainment and profit margins, while this market focuses on accurate probability assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the Philadelphia versus Washington game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the data has been verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to key players on either team – Philadelphia or Washington – would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running offenses, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Finally, even public sentiment and large-volume trades from informed participants can move this market before the game takes place.