TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks during a football game between Philadelphia and Washington. The outcomes depend on whether the designated player meets or exceeds various thresholds of scoring passes throughout the entire match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required passing touchdown threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full-game passing touchdowns including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can emerge based on differing information access and analytical approaches, offering opportunities for informed traders to potentially find advantageous positions. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored during the specified game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the game results as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the final payouts for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or strategic adjustments announced by either team could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance from key players during other games leading up to the event could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, any public analysis or expert opinions released by sports analysts could sway trader behavior. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market before it resolves.