TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on their ability to avoid turnovers through passing interceptions. It examines how often each quarterback throws interceptions, with different thresholds for resolution. The outcome depends entirely on the in-game actions of the players under evaluation.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by the respective quarterback—Jayden Daniels or Tanner McKee—during the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For any market, if the named quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. These rules ensure that markets reflect actual in-game performance while accounting for potential scenarios where a quarterback may be present but not involved in offensive plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome, and it’s a dynamic representation of the perceived likelihood of that outcome happening.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing interceptions thrown by Jayden Daniels during the Philadelphia vs. Washington game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of 3+ interceptions or not. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding Jayden Daniels’ health, such as an injury, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the opposing team’s defensive strategy, particularly if they are known for forcing interceptions, could also shift the odds. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or wind, might increase the likelihood of interceptions. Finally, any late-breaking news about key players on either team, or even analyst predictions, could impact trading activity and move this market.