TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of quarterbacks Jayden Daniels and Tanner McKee in a specific football game between Philadelphia and Washington. Each market focuses on whether the quarterback achieves a certain number of passing completions during the game, with different thresholds for each player.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by either Jayden Daniels or Tanner McKee in the Philadelphia vs Washington Professional Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified quarterback must record the exact or greater number of passing completions as outlined in the market's title. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market will settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market will settle based on the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each has its own threshold for resolution. Kalshi explicitly states that it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names mentioned are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups. It's important to consider the unique information each source incorporates.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular completion total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing completion count for the Philadelphia versus Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process focuses on establishing the accurate and official number of passing completions achieved during the game, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing offenses, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or play-calling tendencies, as reported by analysts or insiders, might cause traders to reassess the probabilities. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert predictions, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.