TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. The focus is on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the named players during the contest. Outcomes depend strictly on in-game performance metrics.
All markets in this event evaluate whether named quarterbacks—Jayden Daniels or Tanner McKee—reach specified passing attempt thresholds (25+, 30+, 35+ for Daniels; 29+, 34+, 39+ for McKee) in the Philadelphia vs Washington game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap is taken—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases when establishing lines, while this market aggregates the collective predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analytical approaches and the dynamic nature of information flow.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt ranges. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular contract, its price increases, indicating a higher likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The volume traded provides insight into the level of conviction behind each prediction, with higher volume suggesting greater confidence in a specific outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt statistics for the Philadelphia versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts recorded by the official league statistics will determine which outcome wins. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the official result, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team, changes in weather forecasts impacting passing strategies, or adjustments to offensive game plans announced by coaches could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about player availability or significant shifts in team performance expectations could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes as traders react to perceived new information or strategic positioning.