TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football players in a game set for November 1, 2026. Payments are determined by each player's Points Per Reception fantasy points as calculated by Sleeper. The payout structure ensures that outcomes reflect actual statistical contributions.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Jayden Daniels during the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Stefon Diggs during the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy football scores of players in the Philadelphia vs Washington game, as calculated by standard fantasy football scoring rules. The specific outcome that resolves the market will depend on which fantasy ladder outcome has the highest final score. Traders will be able to see the confirmed results on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official score reporting.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also impact player performance and, consequently, the market. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding player projections could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.