TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:21 PM EST
Kalshi
For this market, both Philadelphia and Washington need to score points in every quarter of regulation time during their matchup. This includes any scoring method like touchdowns, field goals, or safeties, but only points from the four standard quarters count.
If Philadelphia and Washington both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of this market will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as an event approaches, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the likelihood of the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the event's probability as perceived by the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both teams scored in each quarter of the game. The outcome will be determined by reviewing official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on the final result, and payouts will be issued to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the market, as weather can affect scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could sway trader sentiment. As the game draws closer, any public statements from players or coaches about their offensive approach could also move this market.