TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Philadelphia vs Washington: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Philadelphia vs Washington?

Volume:
$148,000

Washington wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Washington wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 11:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,670
N/A
N/A
$33,827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,922
N/A
N/A
$16,456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,323
N/A
N/A
$10,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,334
N/A
N/A
$14,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,255
N/A
N/A
$9,650
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,705
N/A
N/A
$10,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,739
N/A
N/A
$6,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,425
N/A
N/A
$2,284
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,054
N/A
N/A
$1,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$573
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market focuses on the final quarter performance of an upcoming professional football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team specifically within the last quarter of play. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during that designated period, ignoring any earlier game events or overtime scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential achieved by either team during the 4th quarter of the designated Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold: if Washington wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or if Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes, ensuring that earlier game performance or overtime periods do not affect resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the 4th quarter spread between Philadelphia and Washington. It displays a price history chart, allowing users to see how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $134,357, and the total overall volume traded to date, which is $137,513. This provides a clear overview of market activity and sentiment surrounding this specific NFL matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in this market. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant news or events impact perceptions of the likely outcome, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices, constantly updating the implied probability. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 4th quarter spread of the Philadelphia versus Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning spread and 0 for the losing spread. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall sentiment.