TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:21 PM EST
Kalshi
The market focuses on which team scores more points in the second quarter of an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Washington. Only points scored during that specific quarter count, and if both teams score equally, the tie outcome is considered the winner.
If Washington wins the 2nd Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 2nd Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome. It's common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence with sportsbook lines or diverging based on unique insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team winning the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Philadelphia versus Washington game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning team and settling all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also shift expectations. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first quarter of the game, such as key plays or momentum swings, could cause traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also contribute to price movements.