TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Philadelphia and Washington during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Philadelphia and Washington in the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter of play are considered for resolution. If the total points meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event or has overlooked key information. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely total score for the second quarter, and traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official final score of the 2nd quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the game. Any overtime scoring will not be included in the final total. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the first quarter, especially if one team establishes a dominant lead or a particular offensive strategy proves effective, will likely drive trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news related to team morale could also move the market.