TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:21 PM EST
Kalshi
The market centers on which team dominates the first quarter in terms of scoring. Points from only the first quarter are considered, and if both teams score the same amount, the tie outcome is the winner.
If Washington wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by a relatively small number of experts, this market benefits from the collective intelligence of many participants. However, sportsbook odds often move more quickly in response to breaking news or significant betting activity. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially before the event begins, as each source weighs information differently. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, shown on the dashboard, indicates how many contracts are available at different price points, which can influence trading decisions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading after the first quarter of the game. The official result, as determined by the league’s official statistics, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the first-quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price of their chosen contract at resolution. The platform will then distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance updates are likely to cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in market sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and media coverage, might also have a minor impact, though the market is primarily driven by trader activity on Kalshi. Keep an eye on these factors leading up to Nov 2, 2026.