TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, resolving positively if the designated team exceeds that threshold during the first half.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each defined by a specific point threshold that either Washington or Philadelphia must exceed in the first half of their game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold points in the first half; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The outcomes are binary, with no additional conditions affecting resolution beyond the point totals and the game’s scheduled date. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct betting opportunity. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Philadelphia vs Washington game, and potentially reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for Philadelphia or Washington to achieve their first-half team total, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half between Philadelphia and Washington will be used to determine whether the team total was exceeded. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the completion of the first half and verification of the official results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Washington would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may impact trading activity and the overall price of this market.