TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Washington will win the first half of their game against Philadelphia by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Washington winning the first half by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the first half score and will be finalized no later than the resolution date estimate of November 2, 2026.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Philadelphia and Washington in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team to exceed in points scored during the first half only. If the specified team wins by more points than the threshold listed in the market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes are strictly evaluated using points scored in the first half, with no consideration given to the final game result or any points scored in the second half. The markets cover a range of thresholds for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the opening half of play.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as public sentiment shifts, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. However, sportsbook odds still serve as a useful benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half point spread of the Philadelphia vs Washington game as determined by official league sources. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual result, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while losing contracts will expire worthless.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.