TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different scoring margins in an upcoming NHL game between Philadelphia and Tampa Bay. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific goal differential, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the match.
The event evaluates various goal-differential outcomes for the Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay NHL game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Four distinct markets resolve based on whether Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team narratives, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the two may converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the final result. Examining the difference can reveal insights into public versus informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Philadelphia versus Tampa Bay game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the final score falls on. Any adjustments or official rulings made by the NFL will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 6, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Philadelphia or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Major weather forecasts for the game location could also play a role, especially if conditions are expected to favor one team’s playing style. Public perception and media coverage, while less directly impactful, can also contribute to price movements as they influence broader market participation.