TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Philadelphia vs Salt Lake: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Philadelphia vs Salt Lake?

Volume:
$64,360

Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 9:39 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,634
N/A
N/A
$17,809
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,991
N/A
N/A
$8,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Salt Lake wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,348
N/A
N/A
$6,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Salt Lake wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,489
N/A
N/A
$2,405
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
$1,699
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Philadelphia and Salt Lake, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differentials to determine the result. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Philadelphia vs Salt Lake MLS match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each defined by specific margins of victory for either team. If Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals (regardless of whether it exceeds 2.5), that outcome resolves positively. Similarly, if Salt Lake wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, that also resolves positively. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. All markets are independent assessments and Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Philadelphia vs Salt Lake spread tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different spread outcomes fluctuates in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $64,360, with $59,632 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the event. The dashboard is a central place to monitor the evolving predictions on this specific spread.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially factoring in real-time news, injuries, or other developments that haven’t fully impacted sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines as new information emerges, prediction markets can react more quickly to changing sentiment. It’s common to see differences, as each represents a different form of forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the prices will likely converge towards the true probability, though fluctuations are expected based on new information and trading activity.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Philadelphia vs Salt Lake game. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts settle at $100 and which settle at $0. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will lose their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Salt Lake would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would also be catalysts. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also impact the market, as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the game. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.