TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a triple double during a designated basketball game between Philadelphia and New York. A triple double requires a player to accumulate double-digit totals in at least three of five statistical categories—points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks—in a single game. The outcome hinges on individual player performance rather than the overall game result.
The event resolves to Yes if any of the specified players—Jaylen Brown, LeBron James, or Josh Hart—records a triple double in the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026. A triple double is defined as achieving 10 or more in at least three of the five main statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks, within a single game. If a player is listed as inactive or enters the game but does not take the court at all, the market settles to a fair price. Once any player enters the game, resolution depends solely on whether that player achieves a triple double. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns and liability management, whereas this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders. However, both aim to accurately forecast the likelihood of a triple double.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a triple double. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a triple double, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on official NBA statistics confirming whether a player achieves a triple double – recording double-digit figures in points, rebounds, and assists – during the game in question. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether a triple double occurred, settling at 100 if it did and 0 if it did not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding player injuries, particularly to star players known for their triple-double potential, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team lineups or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in recent games, especially if a player is on a streak of near triple-doubles, could drive increased trading activity and price fluctuations. Any updates on player availability or game dynamics are key signals to watch.